Skip to main content

USMLE-o-gram: Mathematics of Match




Article by :Waqas Nawaz MD

HOW STEP SCORES AFFECT NUMBER OF INTERVIEW CALLS AND MATCHING PROBABILITY-WITH OTHER FACTORS KEPT CONSISTENT; ANALYSIS
1.     It is based on the results and data of last 2 years and it is an estimate ;not hard and fast.
2.     All other factors like USCE,  RESEARCH AND GRAD YEAR are considered constant. Making change in them can change the outcome.
3.     Step 3 score; until very high >235 has effect equal to done or not done.
4.     The number of interviews are those which are “Genuine” not contact based.
5.     Very clear that how the CS attempt can make Green zone a Red zone
6.     Also shows that how toppings can make a RED zone a Yellow zone
7.     Last row shows that with step1, 2<225 ; all 3 toppings needed to make it a yellow zone
8.     A general impression from this analysis is that “ONE interview call increases the match probability by6-8 % “
9.     All these interviews are those which are not contact based. Otherwise strong contacts can bring even a person with step 1, 2 <220 a total of 10 interviews;
10: While calculating all these match probabilities from number of interviews(with formula =1 callx6-8% probability)is calculated assuming that all students have standard interview skills. Otherwise there has been examples in past when students of yellow zone ( safer zone)with 12-15 calls did not get matched because of interview skills.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Step 1 Experience Fareed Jumah

 SUMMARY: - Step 2 CK (June 2017): 252. Experience can be found on the USMLE Step 2 Study Group. - Step 1 (May 2018): o Prep time: 6 months concentrated o Resources: UW + FA mainly. Selected topics from pathoma, BRS physiology, and immunology (details down below). o Assessments  NBMEs (all within 50 days from exam date)  NBME 5 offline: 21 mistakes  NBME 6 offline: 15 mistakes  NBME 7 offline: 12 mistakes  NBME 14 offline: 14 mistakes  NBME 15 offline: 14 mistakes  NBME 16 online: 255  NBME 17 online: 244  UWSA (1 week before exam, both done on same day)  UWSA 1: 269  UWSA 2: 269 o FINAL SCORE: 264 I graduated in 2016 from Palestine. I just want to remind whoever is reading this that I had done my Step 2 before Step 1, so for those who are starting with Step 1, please keep that in mind. Step 2 CK helped me tremendously with pathophysiology, pharmacology, ethics, biostats, and psychiatry. My partner and I started dedicated prep in October 2017. We ran twice (roughly...
Post a Comment
Read more

Step 2 CK Experience (280)--vvimp

• Background: Hello everyone. This is Hasan Alarouri, a Jordanian graduate of Jordan University of Science and Technology (2017). I started my dedicated preparation for Step 2 CK during my internship, and the total duration was around 15 months. Owing to how helpful this group had been during my preparation, and the rarity of experiences similar to mine (Step 2 CK prior to Step 1), I thought I’ll have to share my experience with you. • USMLE Scores: Step 1: not done yet Step 2 CK: 280 Step 2 CS: Passed • Self assessment scores: Free120: 96% (5 mistakes); 5 months prior to exam NBME 4: 6 mistakes (offline); 4 months prior to exam NBME 7: 13 mistakes (offline); 3 months prior to exam NBME 6: 5 mistakes (offline); 2.5 months prior to exam NBME 8: 279 (online; 8 mistakes); 2 months prior to exam UWSA1: 286 (10 mistakes); 1 month prior to exam UWSA2: 274 (15 mistakes); 2 weeks prior to exam • Preparation duration and hours studied each day: The total duration was 15. This was supposed ...
2 comments
Read more

Step 1-238

Hello guys, I want to share my experience as a gratitude for all the people that shared their step 1 journey before .For me all the stories posted in this group gave me strength to continue and became my guidelines in a process from I didn’t know anything about.  Started with Kaplan lecture notes except for pathology. Then I watched all Kaplan 2014 videos except for pathology. Then I did Pathoma and gave my first FA read along with DIT videos, it made it easier to digest the book. Then I solved Usmle Rx and jumped straight to Uworld , first pass timed random mode score 62 % and after that I made it second time 85%. I felt confident with the knowledge I had but not with my test taking skills because I made online nbme 15 with a score of 213 and a lot of silly mistakes so I decided to do Kaplan qbank timed random mode( score 77%). I felt is very strong in anatomy and physiology concepts. After that I started to make more nbmes and I realize that my weakness was test taking skill...
1 comment
Read more